Expert Judgment and Expert Systems

Keynote Lectures.- Toward a Unified Approach to the Study of Expert Judgment.- Some Abstract Problems in Knowledge Representation.- Principles of the Analytic Hierarchy Process.- Policy Analysis and Decision Aids.- Invited Presentations.- Knowledge Systems, Expert Systems, and Risk Communication.- Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence: Is Probability Epistemologically and Heuristically Adequate?.- The Use of Causal Knowledge for Inferential Reasoning.- Interactive Decision Support Systems for Enhancing Expert Judgment.- Value-Driven Expert Systems for Decision Support.- Expert Systems and Creativity.- Expert Systems and Expert Judgment: A User's Perspective.- Very Simple Expert Systems: An Application of Judgment Analysis to Political Risk Analysis.- Expert Systems and Intelligent Computer-Assisted-Instruction.- Assessing the Effectiveness of Expert Teams.- Expert Systems as Cognitive Tools for Human Decision Making.- Psychological Characteristics of Expert Decision Makers.- Descriptive and Prescriptive Models for Judgment and Decision Making: Implications for Knowledge Engineering.- Knowledge Extraction from Experts in View of the Construction of Expert Systems.- Common Sense Knowledge in Expert Systems.