Portfolio Management under Stress

Part I. Our Approach in Its Context: 1. How this book came about; 2. Correlation and causation; 3. Definitions and notation; Part II. Dealing with Extreme Events: 4. Predictability and causality; 5. Econophysics; 6. Extreme value theory; Part III. Diversification and Subjective Views; 7. Diversification in modern portfolio theory; 8. Stability: a first look; 9. Diversification and stability in the Black-Litterman model; 10. Specifying scenarios: the Meucci approach; Part IV. How We Deal with Exceptional Events: 11. Bayesian nets; 12. Building scenarios for causal Bayesian nets; Part V. Building Bayesian Nets in Practice: 13. Applied tools; 14. More advanced topics: elicitation; 15. Additional more advanced topics; 16. A real-life example: building a realistic Bayesian net; Part VI. Dealing with Normal-Times Returns: 17. Identification of the body of the distribution; 18. Constructing the marginals; 19. Choosing and fitting the copula; Part VII. Working with the Full Distribution: 20. Splicing the normal and exceptional distributions; 21. The links with CAPM and private valuations; Part VIII. A Framework for Choice: 22. Applying expected utility; 23. Utility theory: problems and remedies; Part IX. Numerical Implementation: 24. Optimizing the expected utility over the weights; 25. Approximations; Part X. Analysis of Portfolio Allocation: 26. The full allocation procedure: a case study; 27. Numerical analysis; 28. Stability analysis; 29. How to use Bayesian nets: our recommended approach; 30. Appendix I. The links with the Black-Litterman approach; 31. Appendix II. Marginals, copulae and the symmetry of return distributions; Index.

Riccardo Rebonato is Global Head of Rates and FX Analytics at PIMCO, and a visiting lecturer in Mathematical Finance at Oxford University (OCIAM). He has previously held positions as Head of Risk Management and Head of Derivatives Trading at several major international financial institutions. Dr Rebonato has been on the Board of ISDA (2002-2011) and still serves on the Board of GARP (2001 to present). He is the author of several books in finance and an editor for several journals (International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, Journal of Risk, Applied Mathematical Finance, Journal of Risk for Financial Institutions).