Elicitation

Elicitation: State of the Art and Science.- Elicitation in the Classical Model.- Validation in the Classical Model.- SHELF: The Sheffield Elicitation Framework.- IDEA for Uncertainty Quantification.- Elicitation and Calibration: A Bayesian Perspective.- Constructing Subjective Probability Distributions with Data: An Empirical Bayes Approach.- Eliciting Multivariate Uncertainty from Experts: Considerations and Approaches Along the Expert Judgement Process.- Combining Judgments from Correlated Experts.- Utility Elicitation.- Elicitation in Target-Oriented Utility.- Multiattribute Value Elicitation.- Disaggregation Approach to Value Elicitation.- Eliciting Multi-Criteria Preferences: ELECTRE Models.- Individual and Group Biases in Value and Uncertainty Judgments.- The Selection of Experts for (Probabilistic) Expert Knowledge Elicitation.- Eliciting Probabilistic Judgments for Integrating Decision Support Systems.- Expert Elicitation to Inform Health Technology Assessment.- Expert Judgement Based Nuclear Threat Assessment for Vessels Arriving in the US.- Risk Assessment using Group Elicitation: Case Study on Start-up of a New Logistics System.- Group Decision Support for Ecology Economics: A Case Study to Guide the Process of Preferences' Elicitation.

Luis C. Dias obtained a degree in Informatics Engineering from the School of Science and Technology at the University of Coimbra in 1992, a Ph.D. in Management by the University of Coimbra in 2001, and Habilitation in Decision Aiding Science in 2013 in the same university. He is currently Associate Professor and Vice-Dean for Research the Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra (FEUC), where he has been teaching courses on decision analysis, operations research, informatics, and related areas. He held temporary invited positions at the University Paris-Dauphine and the University of Vienna. Luis is also a researcher at the CeBER and INESC Coimbra R&D centers, a member of the coordination board of U.Coimbra's Energy for Sustainability Initiative, and currently a Vice-President of APDIO, the Portuguese Operational Research Society. He is on the Editorial Board of the EURO Journal on Decision Processes and Omega. His research interests include multicriteria decision analysis, performance assessment, group decision and negotiation support, decision support systems, and applications in the areas of energy and environment.

John Quigley has a Bachelor of Mathematics in Actuarial Science from the University of Waterloo, Canada and a PhD in Management Science from the University of Strathclyde, where he is currently Professor. He is an Industrial Statistician with extensive experience in elicitation of expert judgment to support model development and quantification through subjective probability distributions, having worked closely over the past 25 years with various engineering organizations on problems concerned with risk and reliability. John has been involved in consultancy and applied research projects with, for example, Aero-Engine Controls, Rolls Royce, Airborne Systems, BAE SYSTEMS and the Ministry of Defense (MOD). His collaborative work on Bayesian model development as part of the Reliability Enhancement Methods and Models (REMM)