Multiannual Macroeconomic Programming Techniques For Developing Economies (PDF)
(Sprache: Englisch)
This book describes practical techniques to formulate multiannual macroeconomic projections for developing economies. The approach is broadly similar to that of well-known financial-programming âmodelsâ, but some of the material, including solution...
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This book describes practical techniques to formulate multiannual macroeconomic projections for developing economies. The approach is broadly similar to that of well-known financial-programming âmodelsâ, but some of the material, including solution procedures for the external and fiscal projections and the external-debt projection methodology, is innovative. The basic aim of macroeconomic programming exercises is to determine whether a quantitatively specified macroeconomic and government-expenditure policy program would be âfinancially feasibleâ â that is, consistent over time with external and internal financing likely to be available. Exercises of the kind described here formulate national-, external-, fiscal-, and monetary-accounts projections, based on (i) assumed behavioral parameters; (ii) assumed âexogenousâ world conditions and internal variables; (iii) programmed macroeconomic objectives such as real growth, inflation, and exchange-rate evolution; (iv) programmed real government expenditure; (v) an external-debt program; and (vi) data for the âbaseâ year preceding the projection period. The projections include estimates of the external and internal financing the public sector and economy as a whole would require, which may be evaluated for feasibility. Among other applications, macroeconomic programming exercises may be used to help gauge the financial feasibility of development and poverty-reduction objectives (like the UN Millennium Development Goals), or to address external-debt âsustainabilityâ.
Bibliographische Angaben
- Autor: Paul Beckerman
- 2010, 432 Seiten, Englisch
- Verlag: World Scientific Publishing Company
- ISBN-10: 9814289035
- ISBN-13: 9789814289030
- Erscheinungsdatum: 26.02.2010
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