Davis, J: Anticipating a Nuclear Iran

List of Tables and BoxesPreface1. Introduction: Setting the Scene for Iran's Emergence as a Nuclear Power2. The Deterrence Dynamics of an Iran with Nuclear Weapons3. Considerations Influencing Iran's Nuclear Emergence4. Nuclear Weapons Operationalization: What Type of Nuclear Force?5. Implications for U.S. Strategic and Operational Planning6. U.S. Deterrence Planning in the Event of an Iranian Nuclear Breakout7. Dealing with a Nuclear Iran and Asymmetric Challenges8. U.S. Deterrence Planning and IranNotesIndex

Jacquelyn K. Davis is executive vice president of the Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis, Inc. Robert L. Pfaltzgraff Jr. is president of the Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis, Inc., which he cofounded in 1976, and the Shelby Cullom Davis Professor of International Security Studies at the Fletcher School, Tufts University.

Davis and Pfaltzgraff have chosen to tackle a subject that few others have: that Iran might actually succeed in its quest to get "the bomb," and how it might behave as a result. Their assessment is likely to prove invaluable to U.S. policymakers who are forced, by necessity, to think about the "day after" Iran goes nuclear, and what that might mean for U.S. policy. -- Ilan Berman, Vice President, American Foreign Policy Council Anticipating a Nuclear Iran is both a spare and comprehensive guide concerning perhaps the most vexing security challenge of our time. It is a must read for the defense and diplomatic communities. -- Robert D. Kaplan, chief geopolitical analyst for Stratfor, author of The Revenge of Geography This objective and dispassionate assessment of what a nuclear Iran might mean for U.S. security is must reading for the policy maker, the policy analyst, and the broader public policy community. The authors break new ground in their multifaceted discussion of Iran's nuclear program and its implications for deterrence dynamics in the complex twenty-first-century world. A brilliant work of policy scholarship. -- James Stavridis, Admiral, US Navy (Ret); Dean, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University The originality of Davis and Pfaltzgraff's book lies in its creative synthesis of historical, logical, and technology and force structure trends into a coherent assessment of what a nuclear Iran means for the region and the world. They explain U.S. policy implications of an Iran with atomic weapons in a clear, insightful way. -- Paul Bracken, Yale University, and author of The Second Nuclear Age