Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence
(Sprache: Englisch)
A straightforward, easy-to-use resource based on the core principles of critical thinking in intelligence analysis
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A straightforward, easy-to-use resource based on the core principles of critical thinking in intelligence analysis
Klappentext zu „Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence “
Accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners Beebe and Pherson have created a set of twelve robust, class-tested cases on events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decision-making support. The case studies are designed to give analysts-intraining a hands-on opportunity to apply structured analytic techniques to tackle real-life problems. Each case delivers a compelling narrative and a set of step-by-step instructions that make teaching and learning as effective and efficient as possible.Key Features:
- Questions at the start of each case challenge the student to think critically and help the students bring the case into focus;
- Carefully crafted narratives provide the right amount of detail to give a realistic sense of the complexity and challenges of the case;
- Recommended readings at the end of each narrative allow room for further research
- Sections entitled "Structured Analytic Techniques in Action" frame the analytic tasks and provide step-by-step instructions for applying three to fi ve analytic techniques in a series of exercises for each case study;
- Two hundred photos, maps, figures, tables, boxes, and technique templates support analysis and instruction; and
- A matrix of the cases and techniques used in each cases augment the annotated table of contents and provide students and instructors an all-in-one view of the contents.
Inhaltsverzeichnis zu „Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence “
IntroductionI. HOW DO I GET STARTED?
1. Who Are the Customers?
2. What Are the Key Questions?
3. What Is the Broader Context For Analysis?
4. How Should I Conceptualize My Product?
5. What Is My Analytic Approach?
6. Can Collaboration Contribute To a Better Answer?
II. WHERE IS THE INFORMATION I NEED?
7. How Do Models Help My Analysis?
8. What Types Of Information Are Available?
9. Can I Trust My Sources?
10. How Should I Evaluate Sources On the Internet?
III. WHAT IS MY ARGUMENT?
11. Are My Key Assumptions Well-Founded?
12. Can I Make My Case?
13. Did I Consider Alternative Hypotheses?
14. How Do I Deal With Politicization?
15. How Might I Be Spectacularly Wrong?
11. Are My Key Assumptions Well-Founded?
12. Can I Make My Case?
13. Did I Consider Alternative Hypotheses?
14. How Do I Deal With Politicization?
15. How Might I Be Spectacularly Wrong?
IV. HOW DO I CONVEY MY MESSAGE EFFECTIVELY?
16. Is My Argument Persuasive?
17. How Should I Portray Probability and Levels Of Confidence?
18. How Can Graphics Support My Analysis?
19. How Do I Present My Message In the Most Compelling Way?
20. How Do I Know When I Am Done?
V. CASE STUDIES
21. Countering the Iranian Nuclear Threat: Stuxnet and its Broader Implications
22. Puzzling Food Poisonings in Germany
23. The End of the Era of Aircraft Carriers
24. Financial Crisis in the United States: Chronic or Avoidable?
25. Yemen: The Next Afghanistan?
Autoren-Porträt von Katherine H. Pherson, Randolph H. Pherson
Katherine Hibbs Pherson, Chief Executive Officer of Pherson Associates, teaches and advises on the use of critical thinking skills and structured analytic techniques to intelligence analysts in the U.S. Government's Intelligence and Homeland Security Communities. Ms. Pherson and her company work directly with U.S. Government agencies and in partnership with a number of companies on strategic planning, security, and analysis projects for the U.S. Government. Ms. Pherson completed a 27-year career at the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) in intelligence and security analysis and resource management in 2000. Her leadership in the security arena led to the adoption of a risk management methodology, the strengthening and the implementation of overseas security countermeasures, and improvements in dealing with unsolicited contacts. As head of the Director of Central Intelligence's Center for Security Evaluation, she managed the Intelligence Community's involvement in rebuilding the penetrated U.S. Embassy in Moscow. Ms. Pherson received her A.B. in Hispanic Studies from Vassar College, an M.A. in Spanish Linguistics and Latin American Studies from the University of Illinois, and an M.A. in Communications from the University of Oklahoma. She is a recipient of the CIA's Distinguished Career Intelligence Medal and the Intelligence Community's National Distinguished Service Medal.
Bibliographische Angaben
- Autoren: Katherine H. Pherson , Randolph H. Pherson
- 2017, 2nd rev. ed., 408 Seiten, Maße: 15,1 x 22,8 cm, Kartoniert (TB), Englisch
- Verlag: Sage Publications
- ISBN-10: 1506316883
- ISBN-13: 9781506316888
- Erscheinungsdatum: 01.11.2016
Sprache:
Englisch
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