Is There a Best Model?
A Radioecological Case Study
(Sprache: Englisch)
Mathematical models are extensively used to supportdecision-making in many disciplines. Neverthelessthere are not any clear standard guidelines to assessmodels performance. This significantly affects modelselection processes, which aim to determine the...
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Mathematical models are extensively used to supportdecision-making in many disciplines. Neverthelessthere are not any clear standard guidelines to assessmodels performance. This significantly affects modelselection processes, which aim to determine the 'bestmodel', among several possible candidates. Modelperformance is often measured by the accuracy withwhich models predictions fit independentobservations, however this only assesses a singleaspect of a model. The objective of this book is tointroduce a multi-aspect comparison approach whichintends to provide a comprehensive assessment ofmodels capabilities. The innovative aspect of thisapproach is to create a relationship among fourconventional tests, i.e. uncertainty and sensitivityanalysis, goodness-of-fit prediction-observations,model complexity and level of details, in order toprovide a reliable estimation of the differencesbetween constructed and conceptual models. This bookcan be of particular interest to modellers andstudents interested in having an overview of modeltesting as well as scientists willing to applyradioecological models to predict the contaminationof food products.
Autoren-Porträt von Davide Tarsitano
PhD (University of Nottingham). Research fellow (University ofNottingham): Model reduction and Bayesian Model Averaging.Research fellow (University of Bristol): Carbon cycle modelling.
Bibliographische Angaben
- Autor: Davide Tarsitano
- 200 Seiten, Maße: 22 cm, Kartoniert (TB), Englisch
- Verlag: VDM Verlag Dr. Müller e.K.
- ISBN-10: 3836458187
- ISBN-13: 9783836458184
Sprache:
Englisch
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