Risk Analysis in Nuclear Waste Management

Section 1 - Risk perception and risk policy.- Understanding public risk perception.- Decision making based on risk analysis: coping with uncertainty and incomplete data.- Section 2 - From reactor safety to disposal safety.- Probabilistic risk assessment in the nuclear sector: From reactor safety to disposal safety.- Section 3 - The analyst s answer: methodologies and methods.- An introduction to systems variability analysis.- Techniques for uncertainty and sensitivity analyses.- Applications of system variability analysis codes.- The role of the code intercomparison exercises: activities of the PSAC group.- Risk calculation in long term prediction.- Section 4 - The word to the geologists: what if ?.- The use of predictive geology in the analysis of repository evolution. Description of the relevant natural phenomena.- Impact of glaciation on geological disposal: The problem of prediction and the challenge of modelling.- Section 5 - Some worked examples.- The time dimension in riskanalysis.- Evaluation of the risk associated with disposal of radioactive wastes: the deterministic approach.- The sub-seabed disposal safety assessment: a worked example.- Performance Assessment of Geological Isolation Systems (PAGIS).- Section 6 - A smart approach: using natural and archaeological analogues.- Applying natural analogues in predictive performance assessment - Part 1.- Applying natural analogues in predictive performance assessment - Part 2.