Selective Incapacitation and the Serious Offender

Foreword.- Acknowledgments.- Biographical Sketch.- List of Tables.- List of Figures.- 1: Introduction.- The Concept of Selective Incapacitation.- The Present Study.- 2: Sample and Methods.- The Sample.- The Data.- The Coding.- The Analyses.- 3: Participation in Adult Crime among Former CYA Wards.- Types and Levels of Participation in Crime.- Types of Crimes as a Proportion of the Total.- Breadth of Involvement.- Patterns of Participation by Age.- 4: Adult Arrest Rates of Former CYA Wards.- Arrest Rates over the Follow-up Period.- Arrest Rates by Age: General Offense Categories.- Arrest Rates by Age: Specific Offenses.- 5: Individual Offense Rates: Methodological Issues.- Split-half Correlations.- Correspondence of Rankings Based on Rates of Arrest.- Predictions of Odd and Even Rates.- Implications of Using Official Offense Measures.- 6: Stability of Individual Arrest Rates.- Correlations of Age-Block Arrest Rates.- Patterns of Arrest Rate Levels.- 7: Pre/Post Comparisons: Prison or Probation.- Trends in Aggregate Arrest Rates.- Stability of Pre/Post Arrest Rates.- 8: Correlates and Predictors of Arrest Rates for.- Incarcerated Offenders.- Stability of the Lifestyle Variables.- Age-Block Correlations.- Pre/Post Correlation.- Prediction of Postrelease Arrest Rates.- 9: Incapacitation Effects of Increased Prison Terms.- Incapacitation Effects for Various Offenders.- Effects of Incapacitation on Crime and Incarceration.- 10: Summary and Discussion.- Policy Implications.- Research Implications.- Implications for Understanding Criminal Careers.- References.- Appendix 1: Sample Sizes in Pre/Post Aggregate Arrest-Rate Calculations by Race and Sample.- Appendix 2: Means, Standard Deviations, and Number of Cases Included in Age-Block Variables: All Cases with Prison or ProbationInformation.- Appendix 3: Means, Standard Deviations, and Number of Cases Included in Pre/Post Variables: All Cases with Prison or Probation Information.