The Science of War

Acknowledgments vii Introduction 1 Chapter I: Defense Budgeting and Resource Allocation 8 Chapter II: Modeling Combat and Sizing Forces 63 Chapter III: Logistics and Overseas Bases 141 Chapter IV: Technical Issues in Defense Analysis 169 Conclusion 243 Appendix: Figures and Tables 249 Index 263

Michael E. O'Hanlon holds the Sydney Stein, Jr. Chair at the Brookings Institution. His articles appear regularly in Slate, Foreign Affairs, the Washington Post, the New York Times, the Los Angeles Times, the Washington Times, and the Wall Street Journal. A leading expert on national security, O'Hanlon frequently comments on the news for major papers, news channels, and NPR.

One of Choice?s Outstanding Academic Titles for 2010 "As an introduction to a vital realm of analysis, this book has much to offer. But its greater value may be as a primary text describing the type of military thinking that gets states into trouble. Indeed, a symptom of this pathology is that no rival textbooks exist, and thus The Science of War presents evidence not only of the models' shortcoming but also that of our profession."--Jonathan D. Caverley, Perspectives on Politics "O'Hanlon allows the reader to make informed decisions on how to best make and analyze projections. The Science of War will appeal to those with an interest in the relationship between foreign policy and the military, economists, and political scientists."--Jeff Obermeyer, On Point "Although war is as much a matter of art as of science, military planning cannot succeed without an understanding of the technical issues that can make or break operations. O'Hanlon, one of the nation's top defense analysts, has performed a service by writing a book that introduces the complexities of budgeting, logistics, combat simulation, and military technologies. The strength of this work is the way it explains the reasoning behind commonly used models and analytic devices, links assumptions to results, and emphasizes the limitations inherent to the tools of defense analysis."--Choice "Academics and bureaucrats concerned with Australia's defence would do well to read it. Even military officers familiar with operations research will find the book a useful compendium of practical defence analysis. And for those officers without such a background, The Science of War should be compulsory reading--equally so for students who aspire to work on defence issues inside or outside of government."--Mark Thomson, Australian Army Journal "[T]he military analytical thinking developed in The Science of War is a key starting point for any comprehensive effort to address defense and warfare matters."--Nicolo Sartori,