To harmonize the interests of oil producers and State in an unstable economy

When the world economy is stable, the task of finding a balance between the processes of production and refining with the interests of the State is solved relatively simply. In this case, the principal difficulties do not occur with an objective assessment of economic indicators of the processes of production and sale of petroleum and petroleum products, and therefore the conditions for reconciling the interests of the parties more or less transparent. When instability and crisis phenomena in the economy raises fundamental problems wi Thus, for predictive modeling and analysis uses the results of this stage of the exceptions, which are much more compact than the original data arrays themselves. When the design can th economic indicators forecasting industry, for all its parts-oil exploration, oil production, oil refining, serving infrastructure. Just look how seriously contradict each other various price forecasts for oil and oil products. Forecasting difficulties prevent the alignment of interests of the industry and the State, as well as do not give an opportunity to optimize the economic policies of the industry.