We Should Have Seen It Coming
From Reagan to Trump--A Front-Row Seat to a Political Revolution
(Sprache: Englisch)
The executive Washington editor of The Wall Street Journal chronicles the astonishing rise, climax, and decline of one of the great political movements in American history the forty-year reign of the conservative movement, from the election of...
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The executive Washington editor of The Wall Street Journal chronicles the astonishing rise, climax, and decline of one of the great political movements in American history the forty-year reign of the conservative movement, from the election of Ronald Reagan to the Republican Party's takeover by Donald Trump with a new introduction covering the 2020 election and the future of the GOPAbly captures the most consequential American political developments in half a century. Peggy Noonan
In 1980, President-Elect Ronald Reagan ushered in conservatism as the most powerful political force in America. For four decades, New Deal liberalism had been the country s dominant motif, creating such popular programs as Social Security and Medicare, but it had become creaky in the face of soaring inflation, high unemployment, and a growing sense that the United States was no longer the dominant force on the world stage. Reagan's efforts to reshape the government with tax cuts, deregulation, increased military spending, and a more conservative social policy faltered at first. But the economy roared back, and the Reagan revolution was on.
In We Should Have Seen It Coming, veteran journalist Gerald F. Seib shows how this conservative movement came to dominate national politics, then began to evolve into the populist movement that Donald Trump rode to power. Conservative institutions including the Heritage Foundation, the National Rifle Association, Americans for Tax Reform, Rush Limbaugh and Fox News gave the conservative movement a support system, paving the way for Newt Gingrich's Contract with America and George W. Bush's compassionate conservatism. But we also see multiple warning signs, many overlooked or misread, that a populist revolution was brewing. Pat Buchanan, Ross Perot, Sarah Palin, and the Tea Party all were precursors of the Trump takeover.
With behind-the-scenes anecdotes, Seib explains how Trump capitalized on that populist
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movement to victory in 2016, then began breaking from conservative orthodoxy once in office. He shows how Trump altered Republican relations with the business world, shattered conservative precepts on trade and immigration and challenged America s long-standing alliances. This scintillating work of journalism brings new insight to the most important political story of our time.
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CHAPTER 1The Rise of the Reagan Revolution
Sunday, July 15, 1979, was a typically muggy summer day in Washington. The oppressive humidity merely added to the feeling that a hostile world was pressing in on the beleaguered capital, and the beleaguered Democratic president, Jimmy Carter.
Newspaper headlines of the weekend spoke of gas shortages, soaring inflation, global chaos spreading across the land. The Wall Street Journal s front page summarized the feeling on the Friday heading into that weekend with a long, gloomy story headlined Public Turns Moody, Cuts Buying in Wake of Inflation, Gas Woes.
There was little doubt who was on the spot because of all this bleak news: Carter. Halfway through his third year as president, his job approval in the Gallup poll had dropped from 75 percent early in his first year to 28 percent the lowest of his presidency, and just four points above the approval rating Richard Nixon scored before he resigned amid the Watergate scandal.
The president himself was, if anything, adding to that sense of doom and gloom. Carter was an unusual political figure in almost every way a kind of natural outsider who made the dramatic leap from peanut farmer to president in a relatively short time, and without making a lot of close friends along the way. He was a devout man who taught Sunday school, and whose moralistic style some saw as a sign of his inherent decency. Others viewed it as the mark of a sanctimonious attitude. Over the previous week and a half, Carter had done something nobody in Washington had ever seen before: He canceled a widely anticipated televised speech, fled the capital, and retreated to the presidential Camp David getaway to mull over the state of affairs.
He asked dozens of prominent Americans to join him there to ponder how the country should proceed. Members of Congress were summoned, as were governors and religious and labor leaders. Walter Cronkite was there, as was Bill Clinton, the young
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governor of Arkansas. It went on for ten days. Carter soaked in advice and opinions and took notes with a blue felt-tip pen. The original, ostensible point of the retreat was to figure out how to deal with an international energy crisis. But soon the quest became something much bigger: how to get the country out of its funk.
When the visitors had left, Carter sat down with his vice president, Walter Mondale, and a few staff members and speechwriters and began hashing out a different kind of nationally televised address to the nation.
Finally, on the night of July 15, Carter sat at his desk in the White House and delivered one of the most remarkable speeches ever presented by an American president. It became known, universally, as the Malaise Speech. In fact, Carter never uttered the word malaise, but that term aptly captured how both the country and its president seemed to view their predicament in mid-1979.
I want to talk to you right now about a fundamental threat to American democracy, Carter told the nation. The threat is nearly invisible in ordinary ways. It is a crisis of confidence. It is a crisis that strikes at the very heart and spirit of our national will.
This loss of confidence, he declared, is threatening to destroy the social and the political fabric of America. Then, in a striking reversal from normal presidential rhetoric, Carter seemed to point the finger of blame not at his domestic opponents, or at bad luck, or at himself. Instead he pointed the finger of blame directly at American citizens his countrymen who were listening:
In a nation that was proud of hard work, strong families, close-knit communities, and our faith in God, too many of us now tend to worship self-indulgence and consumption. Human identity is no longer defined by what one does, but by
When the visitors had left, Carter sat down with his vice president, Walter Mondale, and a few staff members and speechwriters and began hashing out a different kind of nationally televised address to the nation.
Finally, on the night of July 15, Carter sat at his desk in the White House and delivered one of the most remarkable speeches ever presented by an American president. It became known, universally, as the Malaise Speech. In fact, Carter never uttered the word malaise, but that term aptly captured how both the country and its president seemed to view their predicament in mid-1979.
I want to talk to you right now about a fundamental threat to American democracy, Carter told the nation. The threat is nearly invisible in ordinary ways. It is a crisis of confidence. It is a crisis that strikes at the very heart and spirit of our national will.
This loss of confidence, he declared, is threatening to destroy the social and the political fabric of America. Then, in a striking reversal from normal presidential rhetoric, Carter seemed to point the finger of blame not at his domestic opponents, or at bad luck, or at himself. Instead he pointed the finger of blame directly at American citizens his countrymen who were listening:
In a nation that was proud of hard work, strong families, close-knit communities, and our faith in God, too many of us now tend to worship self-indulgence and consumption. Human identity is no longer defined by what one does, but by
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Autoren-Porträt von Gerald F. Seib
Gerald F. Seib is the executive Washington editor of The Wall Street Journal, where he writes the weekly "Capital Journal" column. Previously the Washington bureau chief of the Journal, he reported on the Middle East for the Journal in the early 1980s, and covered the White House from 1987 through 1992. He has moderated three presidential debates, and interviewed every president since Ronald Reagan. He won the Merriman Smith Award for coverage of the presidency, the Aldo Beckman Award for coverage of the White House, and the Gerald R. Ford Foundation Prize. He was part of a team of reporters who won the Pulitzer Prize in the breaking news category for their coverage of 9/11. In 2005, he won the William Allen White Foundation national citation, and in 2009 the National Press Club's award for political analysis. He appears as an analyst on CNBC, Fox News, PBS's Washington Week, CBS's Face the Nation and NBC's Meet the Press. With CNN's John Harwood, he wrote Pennsylvania Avenue: Profiles in Backroom Power.
Bibliographische Angaben
- Autor: Gerald F. Seib
- 2021, 320 Seiten, Maße: 13,1 x 20,2 cm, Kartoniert (TB), Englisch
- Verlag: Random House Trade Paperbacks
- ISBN-10: 0593135172
- ISBN-13: 9780593135174
- Erscheinungsdatum: 07.09.2021
Sprache:
Englisch
Pressezitat
The great Jerry Seib, as fair and trusted a political reporter and observer as there is, has written a serious, textured, and broad-gauged history of the Republican Party of the past fifty years, its highs and lows, triumphs and catastrophes. In doing so he ably captures the most consequential American political developments in half a century. Peggy Noonan, Wall Street Journal columnistJerry Seib is among the finest political reporters of his generation. Seib does a masterful job documenting the history of the Republican Party from the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980 to the takeover of the GOP by Donald Trump. He covers that period and its key protagonists in a way that is engaging, thoughtful, comprehensive, balanced, and fair-minded. This textured book is essential to understanding American politics and the events that led to the rise of Donald Trump within the Republican Party. Peter Wehner, contributing opinion writer for The New York Times and vice president and senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center
A required read for anyone trying to make sense of the turbulent political climate we are living in. We Should Have Seen It Coming is a thoughtful analysis of the recent historical trends that led us to today. This book is as insightful as it is entertaining and is written from the valuable and unique perspective that only a seasoned journalist of Jerry s caliber could provide. Rahm Emanuel, author of The Nation City
From his catbird seat at The Wall Street Journal s Washington bureau, Jerry Seib has observed the conservative movement and with it the Republican Party for the decades from Reagan to Trump. This is a deeply informed, fast-paced, and often provocative look at the challenges of defining a new twenty-first-century conservatism. Karl Rove, author of Courage and Consequence
Readable, reliable, and always thoughtful, Jerry Seib gives us a front-row explanation of how we went from the Gipper
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to the Donald in less than forty years, and what it means for the rest of America s third century. Scott Reed, senior political strategist, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and former executive director, Republican National Committee
Followers of contemporary political history will appreciate how Seib gathers together the many strands of people and events culminating in present realities. Booklist (starred review)
Judicious and approachable . . . Avoiding wonkishness while making such policy elements as supply-side economics and the Reagan-era tax cuts comprehensible, Seib draws on his insider perspective to deliver an incisive assessment of the most important political story of the millennium. Political junkies will savor this evenhanded, anecdote-rich account. Publishers Weekly
Generously conceived, thoroughly researched, and guaranteed to please no one at the political extremes. Kirkus Reviews
Followers of contemporary political history will appreciate how Seib gathers together the many strands of people and events culminating in present realities. Booklist (starred review)
Judicious and approachable . . . Avoiding wonkishness while making such policy elements as supply-side economics and the Reagan-era tax cuts comprehensible, Seib draws on his insider perspective to deliver an incisive assessment of the most important political story of the millennium. Political junkies will savor this evenhanded, anecdote-rich account. Publishers Weekly
Generously conceived, thoroughly researched, and guaranteed to please no one at the political extremes. Kirkus Reviews
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