Economics and Finance of Risk and of the Future (PDF)

Acknowledgements. General Introduction. Financial assets. Risks. Uncertainty and precaution. Problems: new methods and new instruments. Presentation of the book. PART I: INDIVIDUAL vs COLLECTIVE CHOICE. Introduction to Part I. 1. Risks in a Public Project: The Millau Viaduct. 2. Individual Valuations and Economic Rationality. 2.1 Preferences on consequences and utilities of decisions. 2.2 Decisions, acts and contingent assets. 2.3 Criterion and individual valuation: averaging. 2.4 A simple decision theoretic model. 2.5 A general criterion of individual valuation. 2.6 The two main criteria for decision-making in front of a known probability distribution: paradoxes and limitations. 3. Aggregation of Individual Choices. 3.1 Public choices. 3.2 Market aggregation of individual preferences. 4. Individual and Collective Risk Management Instruments. 4.1 Decision trees. 4.2 Optimisation under constraints: mathematical programming. 4.3 Risk and cost-benefit analysis. Concluding comments on Part I. PART II: RISK vs UNCERTAINTY. Introduction to Part II. 5. Insurable and Uninsurable Risks. 5.1 Insurance of risks with a known probability distribution. 5.2 Insurance of risks with uncertainties. 5.3 Non-insurable risks. 6. Risk Economics. 6.1 Laws of large numbers and the principles of insurance. 6.2 Risk aversion and applications to the demand for insurance 1. 6.3 Background risk. 6.4 Risk measures: variance and Value at Risk. 6.5 Stochastic dominance. 6.6 Aversion to risk increases. 6.7 Asymmetric information: moral hazard and adverse selection. 7. Marketed Risks. 7.1 A general theory of risk measurement. 7.2 Applications to risk valuation. 8. Management Instruments for Risk and for Uncertainty. 8.1 Choosing optimal insurance. 8.2 Insurance claims securitisation. 8.3 Valuing controversial risks. Concluding comments on Part II. PART III: STATIC vs DYNAMIC. Introduction to Part III. 9. Risk Businesses. 9.1 Lotteries and the gambling business. 9.2 Risks and investments. 9.3 Credit

Professor ROBERT KAST has a research position at
LAMETA-CNRS, University of Montpellier (France) and has published
papers and books in decision theory and financial market theory.

ANDRÉ LAPIED is Professor of Economics at GREQAM,
University Paul Cézanne in Aix-en-Provence (France) and has
published papers and books in financial market theory and economic
theory.

They work together in risk theory and have achieved several
governmental investigations on applied problems. Some of them raise
questions on risk management that are addressed in this book.

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