Demographic Forecasting
"A substantial contribution in terms of ideas and methods. This book introduces a new methodology for forecasting mortality that takes into account important predictors, formalizes the use of prior knowledge such as expert opinion, and produces estimates...
"A substantial contribution in terms of ideas and methods. This book introduces a new methodology for forecasting mortality that takes into account important predictors, formalizes the use of prior knowledge such as expert opinion, and produces estimates of forecasting uncertainty, using a Bayesian statistical framework. It also provides convincing evidence that the new methods can outperform some of the best alternatives available. The techniques have wide applicability."--German Rodriguez, Princeton University
"This book is excellent and important."--Ronald Lee, University of California, Berkeley
- Autoren: Federico Girosi , Gary King
- 2008, 267 Seiten, Maße: 20,5 x 24,5 cm, Kartoniert (TB), Englisch
- Verlag: PRINCETON UNIV PR
- ISBN-10: 0691130957
- ISBN-13: 9780691130958
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