Programme Evaluation and Treatment Choice

1 Introduction.- 2 Programme Evaluation and Treatment Choice - An Overview.- 2.1 Introduction in Programme Evaluation.- 2.2 Optimal Treatment Choice.- 2.3 Nonparametric Regression.- 3 Nonparametric Covariate Adjustment in Finite Samples.- 3.1 Potential Efficiency Gains of Local Polynomial Matching.- 3.2 Approximation to the MSE and Bandwidth Choice.- 3.3 Data-driven Bandwidth Choice by Cross-Validation.- 3.4 Matching with Unknown Propensity Score.- 4 Semiparametric Estimation of Optimal Treatment Choices.- 4.1 Estimation of Conditional Expected Potential Outcomes.- 4.2 Optimal Choice and Swedish Rehabilitation Programmes.- 5 Conclusions.- A Appendix.- B Appendix.- C Appendix.- MSE-Approximation for Local Polynomial Matching.- Additional Tables to Chapter 3.- D Appendix.- D.1 Simulated Mean Squared Error for Sample Size 40.- D.2 Simulated Mean Squared Error for Sample Size 200.- D.3 Simulated Mean Squared Error for Sample Size 1000.- D.4 MSE Approximation: Kernel Matching, Sample Size 200.- D.5 MSE Approximation: Kernel Matching, Sample Size 1000.- D.6 MSE Approximation: Local Linear, Sample Size 200.- D.7 MSE Approximation: Local Linear, Sample Size 1000.- E Appendix.- E.1 Asymptotic Properties of the GMM Estimator.- E.2 Power of the J-tests - Additional Monte Carlo Results.- E.3 Additional Tables to Swedish Rehabilitation Programmes.- References.