Beating the Global Odds (PDF)

Foreword Introduction Seizing the Future is (Fortunately) Not a Game of Chance "Coalface" Credentials A Quick Tour of This Book (and Why I'm Emphasizing the Renaissance of Scenario Planning) What's Different, What Never Changes, and a Tale of Two Cities Chapter 1 Global Brain Freeze Nonstop Overstimulation Brings Disorientation More Has Become (Much) Less Think Pinball, Not Roulette Disorientation and Decision Analysis Chapter 2 Fast and Fickle The Ever-Shorter Half-Life of Everything Lumbering Giants Watch out for Those Tuning out and Checking Out Chapter 3 "Rudderless World" Angry Populism, Incapacitated Government, and Stray Capitalism Tea Party, Occupy Movements: Birds of a Feather? Privatizing the Gains, Socializing the Losses The Three Deficits "Inescapable Trilemma"? The Case for Values-Based Leadership Chapter 4 Lighten the Load and Make It Sesame Street Simple Sesame Street Simple Cockpit Confusion Chapter 5 Repair Your Social Fabric Why Relationships Always Trump Transactions The Three-Line Whip "The Pause Principle" All in the Family Chapter 6 Don't Wait for the Next Big Thing Innovation: Slowing down or Speeding Up? (I think the latter) Knowledge "Hatcheries" Offer a Prize Fighting Complexity with Complexity Coming Soon: Information Overload, Tamed and Ready to Serve You? Chapter 7 Open the Aperture Widen Your Lens, But with Discernment Vary Your Information Diet Be Wary of Conventional Wisdom and the "Usual Experts" The Problem of Being Right Too Early Tap into "Remarkable" People and Places Chapter 8 Turning Pixels into a Clearer Picture Applying Scenario Thinking to Make a Better Future Possible "Powerfully Imagined and Rigorously Researched": The Structure of Scenario Thinking Counterfactuals and Other Futures Thinking Envisioning the Future to Inform the Present The Coming Chinese Commonwealth? Pulling It All Together, and Getting Ready to Beat the Global Odds Epilogue The Next Chapter Afterword Selected Bibliography Acknowledgments About the Author

PAUL A. LAUDICINA is the CEO, chairman of the board, and managing partner at global management consulting firm A.T. Kearney, and the founder and chairman of the firm's Global Business Policy Council. With over forty years of professional experience in government, research, business, and at the United Nations, he has worked with leaders from all backgrounds across a broad range of strategic, corporate, and public policy issues. The author of World Out of Balance, one of the top business books of 2005, Laudicina was named to Consulting magazine's annual ranking of the "Top 25 Most Influential Consultants" in 2005 and 2007.

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