Probability and Risk Analysis
An Introduction for Engineers
(Sprache: Englisch)
A textbook presenting notions and ideas at the foundations of a statistical treatment of risks. The text is unlike that found in traditional mathematics literature and differs from typical textbooks in its verbal approach to many explanations and examples.
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Produktdetails
Produktinformationen zu „Probability and Risk Analysis “
A textbook presenting notions and ideas at the foundations of a statistical treatment of risks. The text is unlike that found in traditional mathematics literature and differs from typical textbooks in its verbal approach to many explanations and examples.
Klappentext zu „Probability and Risk Analysis “
The purpose of this book is to present concepts in a statistical treatment of risks. Such knowledge facilitates the understanding of the in?uence of random phenomena and gives a deeper knowledge of the possibilities o?ered by and algorithms found in certain software packages. Since Bayesian methods are frequently used in this ?eld, a reasonable proportion of the presentation is devoted to such techniques. The text is written with student in mind - a student who has studied - ementary undergraduate courses in engineering mathematics, may be incl- ing a minor course in statistics. Even though we use a style of presentation traditionally found in the math literature (including descriptions like de- itions, examples, etc.), emphasis is put on the understanding of the theory and methods presented; hence reasoning of an informal character is frequent. With respect to the contents (and its presentation), the idea has not been to write another textbook on elementary probability and statistics - there are plenty of such books - but to focus on applications within the ?eld of risk and safety analysis. Each chapter ends with a section on exercises; short solutions are given in appendix. Especially in the ?rst chapters, some exercises merely check basic concepts introduced, with no clearly attached application indicated. However, among the collection of exercises as a whole, the ambition has been to present problems of an applied character and to a great extent real data sets have been used when constructing the problems.
Inhaltsverzeichnis zu „Probability and Risk Analysis “
Basic Probability.- Probabilities in Risk Analysis.- Distributions and Random Variables.- Fitting Distributions to Data - Classical Inference.- Conditional Distributions with Applications.- to Bayesian Inference.- Intensities and Poisson Models.- Failure Probabilities and Safety Indexes.- Estimation of Quantiles.- Design Loads and Extreme Values.
Bibliographische Angaben
- Autoren: Igor Rychlik , Jesper Rydén
- 2010, Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2006, X, 281 Seiten, Maße: 15,5 x 23,5 cm, Kartoniert (TB), Englisch
- Verlag: Springer, Berlin
- ISBN-10: 3642063462
- ISBN-13: 9783642063466
Sprache:
Englisch
Pressezitat
From the reviews: "This is a textbook for students with basic (undergraduate courses) mathematical knowledge. In the first part, elementary statistical methods are explained including basic ideas of Bayesian inference and point processes. The second part is devoted to probabilistic assessment of risk in engineering problems. ... Each chapter ends with a section on exercises, short solutions are given in appendix." (Daniela Jarusková, Zentralblatt MATH, Vol. 1145, 2008)
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